Digit Contracts Explained — Analysis scheme pro
Every digit contract on Deriv synthetic indices settles on the last digit of the price quote, read from the instrument's displayed precision — not a rounded float. Comparing observed behaviour against the wrong reference probability is the most common analysis mistake, so this page states each contract's exact baseline.
Matches and Differs
Matches wins when the final digit equals the digit you selected: 1 in 10 outcomes, a 10% reference. Differs is its complement and wins on the other nine digits, a 90% reference. A digit appearing unusually often or rarely is a historical observation only — it is never "due". The Matches/Differs scanner compares each digit's observed rate against these exact values.
Over and Under
Over wins when the last digit is strictly greater than the barrier; Under wins when it is strictly lower. A digit equal to the barrier wins neither side. Barriers run 0–8 for Over and 1–9 for Under, so the theoretical probability changes with every barrier you pick — for example Over 5 covers digits 6–9, four of ten outcomes. The Over/Under scanner lists the eligible and excluded digits for the selected barrier alongside theoretical and observed rates.
Even and Odd
Even covers 0, 2, 4, 6 and 8 — zero counts as even — and Odd covers 1, 3, 5, 7 and 9, each a 50% reference. The Even/Odd analyzer shows parity streaks and meters, but a long run of one parity is not evidence that the other is now more likely: ticks are independent.
Reading deviations correctly
With the right baseline in place, the question becomes how much a deviation matters. Sample size, confidence intervals, chi-square uniformity and agreement across window sizes all shape that answer — see the statistical engine and the strategy guide. Statistical deviation is not predictive evidence.
This page is educational; it is not financial advice, no outcome is guaranteed, and you should never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
Risk notice
Statistical analysis does not guarantee future outcomes.
Past tick distributions do not guarantee the next digit.
Short-term digit imbalances may occur randomly.
Version 1 is analysis only — no trades are placed. No Martingale or loss-recovery staking is provided by design.